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NFL 2018-2019 Thread

Discussion in 'After Hours Lounge (Off Topic)' started by Carabimero, Aug 20, 2018.

  1. Scott Merryfield

    Scott Merryfield Executive Producer

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    Of course he wants to finish the season with the Steelers. If he doesn't report by the 9th week, he doesn't get credit for a season's service and will be right back in the same position next year. No team is going to give Pittsburgh anything of worth in a trade that is better than the 3rd round compensatory pick they will get when they lose him in free agency, since he would only be a half season rental and require a lot of manipulation to fit into another team's salary cap. The time to trade Bell is in the offseason, when another team can negotiate a new contract before agreeing to the trade. That cannot happen right now -- Bell passed the deadline where he can sign an extension this season.

    I think Bell's in for a rude awaking in free agency. He turned down a contract with guaranteed money very similar to what Todd Gurley got from the Rams. I doubt he gets that kind of offer again -- Gurley is much younger, has never been suspended, and is not a pain in the ass to deal with. Also, htere's a huge risk that Bell will not perform nearly as well in another offensive system. Any eam that offers him Toddy Gurley money is insane.
     
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  2. Reggie W

    Reggie W Producer

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    Well, you could plainly see Dave Gettleman's dream when he drafted Saquon Barkley. He was going to have that old NFL offensive fantasy in place...the triplets. A franchise QB, RB, and WR...Manning, Barkley, Beckham.

    Problem is Manning grades out as one of the worst QBs in the NFL over the last 6 years. Beckham is more concerned with being a celebrity than a football player and Barkley, who does appear to be wonderfully talented can't carry this team.

    So, as Gettleman sat there with the second pick in the 2018 draft with QB talent all over the place and the guy the Giants supposedly liked best, Sam Darnold, falling right into his lap...he took a RB.

    The 2019 draft is rich in defensive linemen. This explains why Gettleman likely felt comfortable passing on Bradley Chubb. He more than likely felt that he could land a good D-lineman (a position Gettleman loves) next season. And truth is he can and probably will because you know what the 2019 draft is not rich in? QBs. In fact there is likely only going to be one worth spending a first round pick on in 2019.

    What Gettleman has done here is likely made the worst choice for everybody involved when he drafted Barkley. Watching Barkley last night he was certainly awesome. Hell, he was the entire Giants offense. 130 yards on the ground, 99 more in the air...the kid scored a TD...the only TD the Giants offense produced. Barkley had more targets, more receptions, and more than twice as many receiving yards as Odell Beckham.

    So, how could I possibly call taking Barkley a bad choice?

    Well, first the NFL is now a passing league. You have to be able to throw the ball to win. They changed all kinds of rules and continue to do so, so throwing the ball is always your best option. The percentage of having something good happen on a passing play be it a good gain or a big penalty is now ALWAYS in your favor. For the love of all that's holy, DBs can't touch a receiver and D-linemen can barely blow on a QB without getting a flag. So, the one thing that makes a RB more valuable is if he can catch out of the backfield or occasionally split wide like a WR. I think Barkley can do this.

    Obviously, Fantasy Football is now a billion dollar industry and the NFL is fully supportive of this and they want monster scoring and monster offense because that's what works for Fantasy Football. It may be one of the worst things that has ever happened to the game.

    The problem is great running backs like Barkley or Bell just no longer have the value to an offense they once had. A TE can now carry as much value for an offense as a RB...something a guy like Dave Gettleman seems like he just does not grasp at this point. A RB is now a "complimentary" player, meaning he compliments your offense if you can throw the ball. Otherwise you get what Dallas is getting right now. They have a good RB in Elliott but he can't run because they can't throw. In fact I think one of Elliott's biggest plays this season was when they split him wide like a WR and got the ball to him that way.

    Then we come to an even bigger issue. RB's are typically at their best in their first 4 seasons. It is a position where the players suffer a lot of abuse. So, looking honestly at the situation the window to get the most out of having a guy like Barkley on your team is the first 4 years of his career. If the Giants don't have a QB then Barkley's career is likely going to be wasted there.

    The Giants don't have a QB. I don't know what Gettleman was thinking but Eli Manning was never great. He also really needed Coughlin around to constantly get him back on track. When Coughlin left we officially reached the end of Eli ever being even decent again.

    So, where can the Giants get a QB? Well, chances are they don't get one in the 2019 draft. That's Barkley's first two seasons playing on a bad team with a bad offense. You can likely add his third season to that as well because if they don't draft a QB in 2019 they would still be looking for one in 2020. And if they get their guy in the draft in 2020 that's likely a year to develop him and get him on track so best case scenario you have a good QB in 2021.

    If Barkley is seeing the same sort of game plans as he saw last night, where he was the entire offense, he is going to be one beat up player by 2021. You don't want to burn a good RB's first 4 seasons that way. Plus you have Carson Wentz and the Eagles in your division. They can and will throw to win and Wentz is by far the best QB in that division.

    Gettleman claims to be really high on rookie 4th round QB Kyle Lauletta. If this is true expect him to be starting some games before the season is over. Manning looks like he is ready to go over that QB cliff and his play is never going to improve again.

    If Lauletta is not a surprise good QB then how do the Giants maximize having Barkley on their team and not just beat the crap out of him in games like the one last night?

    Well, they could try trading for a QB. Of who is out there who might they be able to trade for next season? Well, rumors persist that the Ravens are going to move on from Joe Flacco. Flacco is basically a statue in the pocket but he does throw, when he can, a very nice deep ball. In fact he was once rated as one of the best deep ball throwers in the NFL. Odell Beckham would like this...if he remains a Giant. This could make the Giants offense, if not consistent, fun to watch and occasionally dangerous. Then if Gettleman was able to build a defense again they may actually be able to compete while Barkley was on the team.

    So, beyond Flacco who else is out there? Well, you have a journeyman like Sam Bradford who the Cardinals will likely jettison because they have Rosen. Who knows what Bradford has left and he needs a solid offensive line or he stinks. Not a great option.

    This probably only leaves somebody like Derek Carr who it would not be a shock to me if Gruden traded. Carr is not turning it around under Gruden and he is throwing some really bad picks that must be infuriating to Chucky. Carr is an interesting guy that once played like a franchise QB. Now he seems to have lost his confidence and I'm sure the Chucky stare and likely Monday meetings with Gruden are probably intimidating. I have not given up on Carr as a QB, he has the skills and athleticism you want, he's done it before, and he's young enough he could turn it around. Playing under Jack Del Rio could mess up anybody for a while.

    Other than those guys the trade options really plummet. Plus the Giants I don't think are a team that will look for a QB in a trade but who knows.

    What all this means though is that drafting Barkley when the Giants desperately needed a QB during a QB rich draft looks like it was...wait for it...a GIANT mistake.

    I mean Gettleman should have traded Beckham and now the best case, without a QB, scenario for Barkley would be to look at him as an asset and trade him as well. You can always find RBs that contribute...QBs are a totally different matter.

    Barkley would be great on the Eagles, the Packers, or even be in a better place with the Jets or Cardinals to grow with those young QBs. With the Giants and Manning he's in a really tough spot.
     
  3. Robert Crawford

    Robert Crawford Moderator
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    You couldn't have said that with fewer words.;) By the way, I wouldn't want to expose any young QB with that terrible offensive line.
     
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  4. Reggie W

    Reggie W Producer

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    This is the part I am not so sure of. The Jets supposedly really wanted Bell and made the Steelers an offer they liked...and then the rumor is Bell squashed the deal.

    The thing Bell seems to want most is to be a free agent. I wonder if this means he has ideas on where he wants to go and play and maybe that he will even take a lesser amount of money to play in the place he wants to be. I mean if he was Super Bowl motivated I think he would be on the Steelers right now because the AFC is wide open this season. Sure the Chiefs look like the favorite but they have almost no defense and as awesome as Mahomes has been you can't count out teams figuring him out by the playoffs.

    If there is any truth in the rumors that both the Eagles and Packers asked about him I can't see, if he wants to win, why he would not want to go to one of those teams. Supposedly, the Eagles really blew-up the phone lines talking to the Steelers when Ajayi went down. Maybe Bell wants out of Pennsylvania entirely.

    I'm thinking you are absolutely right. Pretty much everybody in the NFL knows what he is doing. So, nobody has to trade for him because he is forcing himself into free agency. So, there is little reason to offer the Steelers anything in a trade unless you think getting him would win you the Super Bowl this season or you really want him.

    He could be huge on the Eagles and the only team I think really wanted him for the long term is the Jets...who I think also have massive cap space. So, if it is money he wants the Jets likely would and could give him the most. Cousins had the same situation when he was shopping his QB services...the Jets offered the most money...he turned it down to take a bit less and play for the Vikings because they looked like they would contend for a Super Bowl.
     
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  5. Reggie W

    Reggie W Producer

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    Prior to the start of the season it was reported that 28 of 32 NFL teams were attempting to make trades for offensive linemen. Tells you what the status of that position is in the NFL.
     

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